Due to the lack of maritime transportation, the Ukrainian agricultural sector may lose $4.6 billion in export revenues in the second half of 2026. Another nearly $600 million will be losses from the reduction of iron ore exports. This is stated in the Inflation Report of the National Bank of Ukraine for October 2026, writes agronews.ua.
According to NBU estimates, the reorientation of exports to alternative routes allowed only a partial restoration of supplies. In September, transportation volumes increased to 2.7 million tons. However, the capacity of Danube ports and railways remains insufficient, and the high cost of logistics limits opportunities for further export growth.
Problems with maritime logistics also negatively affect the metallurgical sector. In the third quarter of 2026, the value of ferrous metal exports decreased by 55% compared to the same period last year. In the fourth quarter, the NBU forecasts an 81% decline.
The shutdown of the largest metallurgical enterprises in the second half of the year may lead to the loss of about $1 billion in export revenue. In addition, to cover the domestic deficit of metal products, Ukraine may need additional imports worth approximately $400 million.
The VI Agricultural Policy Forum will be held: "Agricultural Sector 2026–2027: Survival Strategy"